According to The Kobeissi Letter, prediction markets, as reported by @Kalshi, foresee a total of 75 basis points reduction in interest rates by 2025, distributed over three cuts. This expectation arises amidst increasing recession probabilities, indicating potential rate cuts as early as next month.

According to @KobeissiLetter, prediction markets are forecasting three interest rate cuts totaling 75 basis points in 2025 as recession probabilities rise, suggesting the Federal Reserve might be compelled to reduce rates as early as next month. This information is crucial for traders assessing the impact on market interest rates and bond yields.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the market probabilities of a US recession are increasing, with 5-year Treasuries now pricing in a 52% chance of a recession within the next 12 months, up from 45% in November. Additionally, the recession odds priced-in by the Russell 2000 index have surged to 48% from just 1% in November, signaling heightened market concerns over economic downturns.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, market probabilities of a US recession are increasing, with 5-year Treasuries now pricing in a 52% chance of a recession within the next 12 months, up from 45% in November. Additionally, the recession odds priced-in by the Russell 2000 index have surged to 48% from just 1% in November, signaling growing market concerns over a potential economic downturn.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, oil prices have crashed to their lowest level since November 2024 due to increasing recession concerns. This decline in oil prices could lead to significant impacts on global energy markets and potentially influence cryptocurrency trading as energy costs and economic conditions shift. Traders should monitor energy-related cryptocurrencies and those affected by macroeconomic trends.